Vol. IV · Issue 09 · September 2026 LIVE

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FREE INTELLIGENCE

Vertical Drama in China: The CNY 100B Ecosystem

A CNY 100B short-drama and manju market in 2025; Hongguo reached 356M MAU in March 2026

By Ludovic Bostral — YC S15, ex-CTO Afrostream, M6 Group

CNY 100B2025 market scope
356MHongguo MAU · Mar. 2026
718MChina micro-drama users · Jun. 2026

En brefTL;DR

Market Size

China’s micro-drama market generated CNY 50.4B in 2024, above the CNY 42.5B domestic box office that year. DataEye then estimates CNY 100B for Chinese micro-dramas and manju combined in 2025; this newer figure is broader than live-action duanju and is presented here with that scope intact.

The useful comparison is not an unsupported claim about the fastest format in history. It is the change in industrial scale: a format that exceeded the annual domestic box office in 2024 and is now distributed through dedicated apps, short-video platforms and super-app surfaces.

Platform Landscape

Hongguo recorded 356M monthly active users in March 2026 in QuestMobile data. It is free and advertising-funded; this is a platform metric, not a count of distinct Chinese micro-drama viewers. China’s short-drama market also runs through several distribution surfaces:

Audience Demographics

The current corpus supports a market-wide count of 718M micro-drama users in June 2026. It measures reach, not a demographic profile; any age claim requires a dated, named survey.

For content strategy, the defensible conclusion is narrower: China’s distribution spans dedicated short-drama apps, short-video feeds and super-app surfaces. It is not useful to infer a single age profile from that reach number.

NRTA Regulation

NRTA’s Micro-Drama Development and Management Measures took effect on 1 September 2026. They classify works into three categories by investment level and subject matter. Category 1 and 2 works require review and an approval or distribution licence before release; category 3 works are reviewed and numbered by qualified broadcasters.

This is more specific than saying that every micro-drama needs the same licence. The regime combines release controls with platform responsibility: broadcasters must verify the required documentation or perform the required review before distribution.

The Production Machine

There is no single Chinese production budget. The corpus distinguishes live-action standard series at roughly $41K–$69K in 2025, a $137K premium ceiling in 2024, and an AI-assisted/workshop band of $4K–$14K. These are different production modes, not a price list for one standard product.

A production cost does not establish a standard schedule or crew size. Those metrics must remain attached to a defined production tier and a named production dataset.

Global Export

China’s domestic ecosystem is relevant to global export, but ownership and operating identities need precision. Crazy Maple Studio, operator of ReelShort, had COL Group as a 49.24% indirect equity holder at 30 June 2026; it is not simply a wholly owned Chinese export vehicle.

ReelShort and DramaBox belong in the global comparison, but this page does not assert an unsourced conversion-rate effect from English-language localization. That claim needs a named study and a comparable cohort.

Scope and Sources

Every number above is dated and scoped. The 2025 CNY 100B market estimate covers micro-dramas and manju together; the 356M Hongguo figure is a platform MAU; the 718M figure is a market-wide user series. They are not interchangeable.

Sources: DataEye 2025 industry report; QuestMobile 2026 short-drama insight report; NRTA Measures (2026); Streaming Radar Vertical Invasion corpus.

Full analysis of the China-to-global pipeline, with 128 companies tracked in the Vertical Invasion 2026 corpus.

Vertical Invasion 2026 →

Vertical Drama in China: FAQ

How large is China’s short-drama market?

DataEye estimates about CNY 100B in 2025 for micro-dramas and manju together. That scope is broader than live-action duanju alone.

How many people watch short dramas in China?

The NRTA series counted 718M micro-drama users in June 2026. Hongguo’s 356M MAU is a separate, overlapping platform measure.

What are the current regulations?

NRTA’s rules place works into three categories. The two upper categories require approval before release; category 3 is reviewed and numbered by qualified broadcasters.

How large is Hongguo?

QuestMobile recorded 356M monthly active users in March 2026. Hongguo is free and advertising-funded, unlike many coin-led export apps.